Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.120049 0.141067 0.164549 0.192710 0.225552 0.262631 0.307663
2025-11-23 0.086057 0.112331 0.144761 0.187668 0.242890 0.311523 0.403271
2025-11-30 0.069834 0.098604 0.136852 0.191285 0.266635 0.367140 0.511289
2025-12-07 0.057887 0.087219 0.128675 0.191320 0.283372 0.413445 0.611003
2025-12-14 0.047965 0.076497 0.119039 0.186777 0.291612 0.447341 0.695880
2025-12-21 0.041262 0.069246 0.113017 0.186044 0.304407 0.488212 0.794732
2025-12-28 0.037422 0.065772 0.112079 0.192667 0.328840 0.548914 0.930680
2026-01-04 0.034574 0.063420 0.112463 0.201197 0.356991 0.618176 1.087937
2026-01-11 0.031546 0.060250 0.110926 0.206038 0.379148 0.679511 1.238337
2026-01-18 0.028269 0.056115 0.107078 0.206125 0.392674 0.727088 1.369551
2026-01-25 0.024555 0.050599 0.099956 0.199172 0.392316 0.749601 1.457522
2026-02-01 0.021165 0.045218 0.092359 0.190252 0.386968 0.762002 1.527408
2026-02-08 0.018998 0.042157 0.089173 0.190186 0.400019 0.812846 1.681765
2026-02-15 0.016573 0.038208 0.083716 0.184890 0.402170 0.843330 1.800961
2026-02-22 0.015258 0.036462 0.082571 0.188416 0.422914 0.913236 2.008624
2026-03-01 0.013821 0.034206 0.079998 0.188446 0.436097 0.968919 2.192915
2026-03-08 0.012240 0.031357 0.075695 0.183969 0.438678 1.002229 2.332628
2026-03-15 0.011107 0.029412 0.073181 0.183247 0.449606 1.054840 2.521208
2026-03-22 0.010537 0.028787 0.073694 0.189773 0.478249 1.150296 2.818568
2026-03-29 0.010113 0.028472 0.074913 0.198178 0.512434 1.262271 3.167486
2026-04-05 0.009527 0.027631 0.074702 0.202948 0.538245 1.357385 3.486954
2026-04-12 0.008770 0.026203 0.072780 0.203034 0.552218 1.425505 3.748069
2026-04-19 0.007790 0.023985 0.068468 0.196183 0.547330 1.446509 3.893337